Manchester Utd vs West Ham Utd preview, 4 Dec 2025: xG form

04 Dec 20:00

A. Kitchen

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MUN clear favourites at home.

MUN55%Draw25%WHU21%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man Utd1.9West Ham1.1

A 0.8 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

MUN attack

LW0.59

CF0.71

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.12

RB0.18

PROMUN attack report PROWHU defence report

CautiousVery bold

PROMUN shape report PROWHU shape report

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

MUN12 scored from 11.4 xG+0.6

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyTechnical

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Central playWide play

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Sits deeperMid-block

Counter-pressesCounter-presses

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 8 short	90	4.4
Fernandes	Free kicks	70	2.3
Mbeumo	Corners R, 5 short	49	2.4
Dalot	Throw-ins	40	1.3
Diallo	Corners R, 1 short	15	0.2
Fernandes	Penalties	6	4.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts

PROMUN set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

Manchester UtdMan Utd
1-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Dalot 57'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers