Newcastle Utd vs Brentford Preview: What the xG Data Says

Newcastle

2-33.33-1.95

Brentford

Botman 23'
Guimarães (P) 78'

Janelt 36'
Thiago (P) 46'
Ouattara 84'

Janelt 36'
Thiago (P) 46'
Ouattara 84'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW25

07 Feb 17:30

A. Madley

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW43%

Draw28%

BRE29%

NEWNewcastle1.6

Right channel

NEW right channel vs BRE left side

Brentford's left side leaks more than most.

NEW attack here

41% of attacks

BRE concede here

0.22 xT per match

Possession-basedVery direct

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Measured riskTakes risks

Middling intensityHigh intensity

Sits deeperMid-block

Middling controlTechnical

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

NEW12th → xPos 12th

BRE9th → xPos 11th

table posxPosition

NEW

LW0.18

CF0.53

RW0.12

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.12

LB0.06

CB0.29

RB0.00

BRE

LW0.24

CF0.76

RW0.41

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
2-3
BrentfordBrentford
Botman 23'
Guimarães (P) 78'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Newcastle United formLWWLL

Brentford formWDDDD

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score