This match has been played.
See full analysisBournemouth hold the xG edge but margins are slim 17th-placed Nottingham Forest (1.3 xG/match) host 10th-placed Bournemouth (1.7 xG/match). Nottingham Forest have 29 points but their underlying data suggests 38 expected points, hinting at better results ahead. Evanilson leads the combined threat with 11.4 xGI in 29 appearances for Bournemouth.
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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from BOU
FavoursBOUSubscribers see the evidence behind thisBOU concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where NFO focus their attacks
FavoursNFOSubscribers see the evidence behind thisCombined xG profiles point to 3.1+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start
Subscribers see the evidence behind thisStruggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)
Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
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In-form players who could decide this match
Rayan
WG