Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace preview, 1 Feb 2026: xG form

01 Feb 14:00

T. Harrington

This match has been played.

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NFO favoured at home, but only just.

NFO41%Draw29%CRY30%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Forest1.4C. Palace1.2

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

NFO attack

LW0.31

CF0.50

RW0.38

CAM0.13

CDM0.25

CM0.19

LB0.06

CB0.13

RB0.19

PRONFO attack report PROCRY defence report

Central playVery wide

PRONFO shape report PROCRY shape report

CRY attack

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

NFO16 scored from 9.7 xG+6.3

CRY6 scored from 9.3 xG-3.3

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Very scrappyMiddling control

Measured riskTakes risks

Fairly directFairly direct

Deep blockSits deeper

Low intensityLow intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Anderson	Corners L and R, 12 short	88	2.8
Anderson	Free kicks	57	0.6
Hutchinson	Corners R, 11 short	46	1.3
Anderson	Penalties	1	0.8
Gibbs-White	Penalties	1	0.8
Jesus	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

32%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Richards	Throw-ins	101	1.1
Lerma	Throw-ins	50	0.4
Wharton	Corners L and R, 1 short	44	1.6
Mateta

PRONFO set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Penalties

24%

Nottingham ForestForest
1-1
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Gibbs-White 4'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers