Nottingham Forest vs Everton preview, 30 Dec 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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NFO favoured at home, but only just.

NFO42%Draw30%EVE28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Forest1.4Everton1.1

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

NFO attack

LW0.31

CF0.50

RW0.38

CAM0.13

CDM0.25

CM0.19

LB0.06

CB0.13

RB0.19

PRONFO attack report PROEVE defence report

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

PRONFO shape report PROEVE shape report

EVE attack

LW0.06

CF0.47

RW0.35

CAM0.12

CDM0.18

CM0.24

LB0.18

CB0.29

RB0.29

Last 6, goals vs xG

NFO16 scored from 9.7 xG+6.3

EVE8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperPresses higher

Measured riskVery bold

Fairly directVery direct

ScrappyMiddling control

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Garner 18'
Barry 78'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW19

30 Dec 19:30

M. Oliver

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Anderson	Corners L and R, 12 short	88	2.8
Anderson	Free kicks	57	0.6
Hutchinson	Corners R, 11 short	46	1.3
Anderson	Penalties	1	0.8
Gibbs-White	Penalties	1	0.8
Jesus	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

32%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Garner	Corners L and R, 8 short	107	4.7
O'Brien	Throw-ins	59	0.4
Garner	Free kicks	56	1.6
Mykolenko

PRONFO set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Nottingham ForestForest
0-2
EvertonEverton

Key players

Set-piece takers