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See full analysisCan Manchester United defy the xG gap? 3rd-placed Sunderland (1.8 xG/match) host 13th-placed Manchester United (1.0 xG/match). Manchester United sit on 40 points but their data only supports 31, implying they have been riding their luck. Bruno Fernandes leads the combined threat with 20.1 xGI in 28 appearances for Sunderland.
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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from SUN
FavoursSUNSubscribers see the evidence behind thisCombined xG profiles point to 3.3+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start
Subscribers see the evidence behind thisSolid form (wasteful in front of goal)
Solid form (leaky at the back)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
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In-form players who could decide this match
A. Diallo
WG