Tottenham vs Brighton preview, 18 Apr 2026: xG form

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Porro 38'
Simons 76'

Mitoma 47'
Rutter 94'

15306075+5'+8'

1-0

1-1

2-1

2-2

Premier League 2025/2026

GW33

18 Apr 16:30

S. Attwell

This match has been played.

See full analysis

TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT40%Draw30%BHA30%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4Brighton1.2

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PROBRI defence report

Sits offCounter-presses

PROTOT shape report PROBRI shape report

BRI attack

LW0.12

CF0.71

RW0.18

CAM0.24

CDM0.06

CM0.24

LB0.12

CB0.06

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

BHA9 scored from 11.2 xG-2.2

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1D. Welbeck(C)FW	£4.4m	0.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperVery high line

Middling controlTechnical

Possession-basedMixed build-up

CautiousMeasured risk

Very high intensityVery high intensity

Fairly physicalFairly physical

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1D. Welbeck(C)FW	£4.4m	0.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Player	Rating					Rotation
D. WelbeckCF · BRI	7.0#7	26%	6%	0.47	79%	Low	0.32
D. SolankeCF · TOT	6.7-	26%	7%	0.43	84%	Medium	0.17
RicharlisonCF · TOT	7.4#2	18%	5%	0.52	48%	Medium	0.73
M. TelWG · TOT	--	16%	11%	0.48	59%	High	0.39
Y. MintehWG · BRI	--	16%	13%	0.46	68%	Medium	0.31
R. Kolo MuaniCF · TOT	5.3#21	16%	8%	0.35	73%	Medium	0.30

43 more players

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 4 short	57	1.6
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	35	3.4
Minteh	Corners L and R, 7 short	31	0.6
Welbeck

PROTOT set pieces PROBRI set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Penalties

21%

TottenhamTottenham
2-2
BrightonBrighton
Porro 38'
Simons 76'
1.82-0.92
Mitoma 47'
Rutter 94'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers

TottenhamTottenham2-2BrightonBrightonPorro 38'Simons 76'1.82-0.92Mitoma 47'Rutter 94'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Tottenham Hotspur formLLDLL

Brighton formWLWWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers

TottenhamTottenham
2-2
BrightonBrighton
Porro 38'
Simons 76'
1.82-0.92
Mitoma 47'
Rutter 94'