Tottenham vs Liverpool preview, 20 Dec 2025: xG form

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Isak 55'
Ekitiké 65'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW17

20 Dec 17:30

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

See full analysis

TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT37%Draw29%LIV34%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4Liverpool1.3

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PROLIV defence report

Very lightFairly physical

PROTOT shape report PROLIV shape report

LIV attack

LW0.29

CF0.35

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.29

LB0.29

CB0.12

RB0.18

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

LIV11 scored from 9.9 xG+1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperVery high line

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Middling controlVery technical

Very cautiousMeasured risk

High intensityVery high intensity

Sits offMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Szoboszlai	Corners L and R, 12 short	105	4.2
Salah	Corners R, 6 short	58	1.7
Szoboszlai	Free kicks	55	1.5
Gakpo

PROTOT set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

39%

Corners

36%

TottenhamTottenham
1-2
LiverpoolLiverpool
Richarlison 82'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers