Tottenham vs Manchester City preview, 1 Feb 2026: xG form

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Cherki 10'
Semenyo 43'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW24

01 Feb 16:30

R. Jones

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MCI favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT31%Draw27%MCI42%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.3Man City1.6

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PROMCI defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROTOT shape report PROMCI shape report

MCI attack

LW0.59

CF0.18

RW0.06

CAM0.18

CDM0.18

CM0.00

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

MCI12 scored from 12.7 xG-0.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperVery high line

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Middling controlVery technical

LightFairly physical

High intensityVery high intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

MCI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Foden	Corners L and R, 5 short	91	3.1
Cherki	Corners L and R, 8 short	54	1.8
Silva	Corners L and R, 18 short	47	1.6
Reijnders

PROTOT set pieces PROMCI set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

54%

Throw-ins

22%

TottenhamTottenham
2-2
Manchester CityMan City
Solanke 52'
Solanke 69'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers