Tottenham vs Manchester Utd preview, 8 Nov 2025: xG form

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Mbeumo 31'
de Ligt 95'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW11

08 Nov 12:30

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MUN favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT33%Draw29%MUN38%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.3Man Utd1.4

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PROMUN defence report

Central playVery wide

PROTOT shape report PROMUN shape report

MUN attack

LW0.59

CF0.71

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.12

RB0.18

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

MUN12 scored from 11.4 xG+0.6

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits offCounter-presses

Middling intensityVery high intensity

LightFairly physical

CautiousMeasured risk

Sits deeperMid-block

Mixed build-upMixed build-up

Middling controlTechnical

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 8 short	90	4.4
Fernandes	Free kicks	70	2.3
Mbeumo	Corners R, 5 short	49	2.4
Dalot

PROTOT set pieces PROMUN set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

TottenhamTottenham
2-2
Manchester UtdMan Utd
Tel 83'
Richarlison 90'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers