Tottenham vs West Ham Utd preview, 17 Jan 2026: xG form

17 Jan 15:00

J. Gillett

This match has been played.

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TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT43%Draw29%WHU29%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.5West Ham1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PROWHU defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROTOT shape report PROWHU shape report

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very lightFairly physical

Measured riskVery bold

Very scrappyMiddling control

Sits offCounter-presses

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Sits deeperSits deeper

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts

PROTOT set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

TottenhamTottenham
1-2
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Romero 63'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers