West Ham Utd vs Chelsea preview, 22 Aug 2025: xG form

Viewing the 2025/26 seasonGo to 2026/27

Pedro 14'
Neto 22'
Fernández 33'
Caicedo 53'
Chalobah 57'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW2

22 Aug 19:00

M. Oliver

This match has been played.

See full analysis

WHU favoured at home, but only just.

WHU40%Draw28%CHE32%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.5Chelsea1.3

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

PROWHU attack report PROCHE defence report

Very cautiousVery bold

PROWHU shape report PROCHE shape report

CHE attack

LW0.12

CF0.59

RW0.18

CAM0.06

CDM0.06

CM0.29

LB0.12

CB0.18

RB0.12

Last 6, goals vs xG

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

CHE5 scored from 6.0 xG-1.0

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyVery technical

Patient build-upFairly direct

Very centralWide play

Drops right offCounter-presses

Very low intensityLow intensity

Sits deeperMid-block

Very lightVery light

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	0.7
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Bowen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
James	Corners L and R, 16 short	78	3.3
Neto	Corners L and R, 11 short	68	3.6
Fernández	Corners L and R, 12 short	51	2.0
Neto

PROWHU set pieces PROCHE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Penalties

26%

West Ham UtdWest Ham
1-5
ChelseaChelsea
Paquetà 5'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers