West Ham Utd vs Liverpool preview, 30 Nov 2025: xG form

30 Nov 14:05

D. England

This match has been played.

See full analysis

WHU favoured at home, but only just.

WHU38%Draw28%LIV34%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.5Liverpool1.4

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

PROWHU attack report PROLIV defence report

Very cautiousVery bold

PROWHU shape report PROLIV shape report

LIV attack

LW0.29

CF0.35

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.29

LB0.29

CB0.12

RB0.18

Last 6, goals vs xG

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

LIV11 scored from 9.9 xG+1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyVery technical

Sits deeperVery high line

Very low intensityHigh intensity

Patient build-upFairly direct

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Very lightVery light

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	0.7
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Bowen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Szoboszlai	Corners L and R, 12 short	105	4.2
Salah	Corners R, 6 short	58	1.7
Szoboszlai	Free kicks	55	1.5
Gakpo

PROWHU set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

39%

Corners

36%

West Ham UtdWest Ham
0-2
LiverpoolLiverpool

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers