West Ham Utd vs Newcastle Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

West Ham

3-12.24-0.48

Newcastle

Paquetà 34'
Botman (OG) 49'
Souček 96'

Murphy 3'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW10

02 Nov 14:00

R. Jones

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

WHU concede just 1.4 xGA per match vs NEW's 2.4. That gap should show in chance quality

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WHU's clean sheet rate of 50% meets an attack generating just 1.1 xG per match

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.2+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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West Ham United

Last 10 home games2W · 4D · 4L · 20% wins

Struggling at home

1.4 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Newcastle United

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

West Ham United

J. Bowen

WG0.46

xGI/90

0.46

Goals vs xG

1G vs 0.8

Assists vs xA

3A vs 1.7

Taty Castellanos

1G 0A0.58 xGI

Pablo Felipe

CAM

0G 0A0.62 xGI

T. Souček

1G 0A0.39 xGI

Newcastle United

W. Osula

CF0.54

xGI/90

0.54

Goals vs xG

3G vs 1.5

Assists vs xA

0A vs 0.7

H. Barnes

2G 1A0.65 xGI

Player
Wilson WHU	0.53	0.43	1.91	21
Castellanos WHU	0.47	0.44	2.76	89
Osula NEW	0.47	0.36	1.84	64

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Newcastle United

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.24

0.539th

0.591st

0.359th

0.352nd

0.294th

0.351st

0.184th

0.531st

0.0615th

NEW(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.71

0.5310th

0.1815th

0.1218th

0.1812th

0.1215th

0.2410th

0.0618th

0.293rd

0.0020th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the clean sheet prediction hold?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Come back after the final whistle.

West Ham United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Wilson WHU	0.53	0.43	1.91	21
Castellanos WHU	0.47	0.44	2.76	89
Osula NEW	0.47	0.36	1.84	64

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West Ham UtdWest Ham
3-1
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Paquetà 34'
Botman (OG) 49'
Souček 96'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NEW

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NEW

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NEW

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Newcastle United formLWWLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NEW