West Ham Utd vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

West Ham

1-21.51-1.61

Forest

Murillo (OG) 12'

Domínguez 54'
Gibbs-White (P) 88'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW21

06 Jan 20:00

T. Harrington

This match has been played.

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West Ham United

Last 10 home games2W · 4D · 4L · 20% wins

Struggling at home

1.4 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

Above expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

West Ham United

J. Bowen

WG0.46

xGI/90

0.46

Goals vs xG

1G vs 0.8

Assists vs xA

3A vs 1.7

Taty Castellanos

1G 0A0.58 xGI

Pablo Felipe

CAM

0G 0A0.62 xGI

T. Souček

1G 0A0.39 xGI

Nottingham Forest

Igor Jesus

CF0.48

xGI/90

0.48

Goals vs xG

2G vs 1.9

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.2

M. Gibbs-White

CAM

4G 0A0.39 xGI

Player
Wilson WHU	0.53	0.43	1.91	21
Castellanos WHU	0.47	0.44	2.76	89
Awoniyi NFO	0.50	0.41	1.94	15

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Nottingham Forest

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.24

0.539th

0.591st

0.359th

0.352nd

0.294th

0.351st

0.184th

0.531st

0.0615th

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

West Ham United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Wilson WHU	0.53	0.43	1.91	21
Castellanos WHU	0.47	0.44	2.76	89
Awoniyi NFO	0.50	0.41	1.94	15

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West Ham UtdWest Ham
1-2
Nottingham ForestForest
Murillo (OG) 12'

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NFO

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Nottingham Forest formLDDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

NFO