Wolverhampton vs Everton preview, 30 Aug 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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EVE favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL33%Draw31%EVE36%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Everton1.2

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a one-in-three win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WOL attack

LW0.35

CF0.71

RW0.47

CAM0.35

CDM0.18

CM0.71

LB0.35

CB0.06

RB0.29

PROWOL attack report PROEVE defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROWOL shape report PROEVE shape report

Premier League 2025/2026

GW3

30 Aug 14:00

M. Oliver

EVE attack

LW0.06

CF0.47

RW0.35

CAM0.12

CDM0.18

CM0.24

LB0.18

CB0.29

RB0.29

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL3 scored from 7.8 xG-4.8

EVE8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Very directVery direct

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mosquera	Throw-ins	60	1.2
Bueno	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	2.4
Larsen	Penalties	2	1.5
Hee-Chan	Penalties	1	0.8
Arokodare	Penalties	1	0.8
Armstrong	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Garner	Corners L and R, 8 short	107	4.7
O'Brien	Throw-ins	59	0.4
Garner	Free kicks	56	1.6
Mykolenko

PROWOL set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

WolverhamptonWolves
2-3
EvertonEverton
Hee-Chan 20'
Gomes 78'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers