Wolverhampton vs Leeds Utd preview, 20 Sep 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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LEE favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL31%Draw30%LEE40%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Leeds Utd1.4

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WOL attack

LW0.35

CF0.71

RW0.47

CAM0.35

CDM0.18

CM0.71

LB0.35

CB0.06

RB0.29

PROWOL attack report PROLEE defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROWOL shape report PROLEE shape report

Premier League 2025/2026

GW5

20 Sep 14:00

A. Taylor

LEE attack

LW0.29

CF0.59

RW0.53

CAM0.35

CDM0.24

CM0.24

LB0.06

CB0.12

RB0.41

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL3 scored from 7.8 xG-4.8

LEE10 scored from 11.5 xG-1.5

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very low intensityHigh intensity

Mixed build-upVery direct

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Takes risksVery bold

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mosquera	Throw-ins	60	1.2
Bueno	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	2.4
Larsen	Penalties	2	1.5
Hee-Chan	Penalties	1	0.8
Arokodare	Penalties	1	0.8
Armstrong	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

LEE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ampadu	Throw-ins	136	1.8
Stach	Corners L and R, 6 short	100	4.3
Stach	Free kicks	43	0.5
Longstaff

PROWOL set pieces PROLEE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Penalties

22%

WolverhamptonWolves
1-3
Leeds UtdLeeds Utd
Krejčí 7'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers