Wolverhampton vs Sunderland preview, 2 May 2026: xG form

This match has been played.

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WOL favoured at home, but only just.

WOL38%Draw32%SUN31%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Sunderland1.1

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WOL attack

LW0.35

CF0.71

RW0.47

CAM0.35

CDM0.18

CM0.71

LB0.35

CB0.06

RB0.29

PROWOL attack report PROSUN defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROWOL shape report PROSUN shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
B. BrobbeyCF · SUN	6.0#19	23%	4%	0.37	83%	Medium	0.15
A. ArmstrongCF · WOL	5.1-	19%	5%	0.42	61%	Medium	0.49
H. DiarraCAM · SUN	--	15%	3%	0.25	78%	Medium	0.20
T. ArokodareCF · WOL	6.3-	14%	3%	0.48	37%	High	1.01
M. Dami ManeCAM · WOL	--	10%	5%	0.33	49%	Medium	0.06
João GomesCM · WOL	--	10%	5%	0.16	99%	Low	0.17

41 more players

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mosquera	Throw-ins	60	1.2
Bueno	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	2.4
Larsen	Penalties	2	1.5
Hee-Chan	Penalties	1	0.8
Arokodare	Penalties	1	0.8
Armstrong	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

SUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mukiele	Throw-ins	112	1.8
Xhaka	Free kicks	80	2.2
Xhaka	Corners R, 9 short	61	1.9
Fée

PROWOL set pieces PROSUN set pieces

WolverhamptonWolves
1-1
SunderlandSunderland
Bueno 53'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers