Aston Villa vs Coventry City preview, 2 Apr 2027: xG form

Aston Villa favoured at home, but only just.

AVL47%Draw27%COV26%

Mostly last season's ratings, plus 10 matches played this season.

Villa1.6Coventry1.2

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Aston Villa attack134 chances

PROAston Villa attack report PROCoventry City defence report

PROAston Villa shape report PROCoventry City shape report

36%49 / 134

25%33 / 134

39%52 / 134

LW0.20

CF0.40

RW0.40

CAM1.00

CDM0.20

CM0.00

LB0.40

CB0.40

RB0.00

Aston Villa's right side carries the load, and it meets Coventry City's softest flank.

Coventry City attack124 chances

49%61 / 124

12%15 / 124

39%48 / 124

LeftCentreRight

LW0.40

CF0.60

RW0.60

CAM0.40

CDM1.00

CM0.00

LB0.20

CB0.20

RB0.20

Coventry City create most through the left, without a clear opening there.

Coventry City concede through the right channel

12th of 20

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Last 6, goals vs xG

AVL4 scored from 6.0 xG · 5 matches-2.0

COV1 scored from 5.3 xG · 5 matches-4.3

Your squad in this match

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PROFantasy hub, projections

Each side's last five results with xG, and their head-to-head record against each other.After gameweek 1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very centralVery wide

Possession-basedVery direct

Very scrappyMiddling control

Drops right offSits off

Very low intensityVery low intensity

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

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PROFantasy hub, projections

Aston Villa Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McGinn	Corners L and R, 1 short	8	0.0
McGinn	Free kicks	6	0.0
Buendía	Corners L, 1 short	4	0.7
Cash	Throw-ins	4	0.0

Share of set-play xG

Corners

78%

Free kicks

17%

Coventry City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ewijk	Throw-ins	9	0.1
Grimes	Corners L and R, 1 short	8	0.1
Rudoni	Corners L and R, 1 short	6	0.2
Rudoni

PROAston Villa set pieces PROCoventry City set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

44%

Free kicks

32%

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Coventry CityCoventry

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players