Aston Villa vs Newcastle United prediction, 15 May 2027

Aston Villa favoured at home, but only just.

AVL50%Draw26%NEW24%

Based on 16 matches played this season.

Villa1.8Newcastle1.2

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

PROAston Villa shape report PRONewcastle United shape report

Where each side attacks, where the other concedes, and the biggest mismatch between them.

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

Sync my FPL squad

Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

PROMy Team, projections

39%called correctly

Error score

6% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.225 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

33%·66

50-60%

56%·9

60-70%

75%·4

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 80 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

Sync my FPL squad

Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

PROMy Team, projections

Aston Villa Player	Routine	Taken	xG
J. McGinn	Corners L and R, 2 short
J. McGinn	Free kicks
M. Cash	Throw-ins
E. Buendía	Corners L, 3 short
E. Buendía	Free kicks

Newcastle United Player	Routine	Taken	xG
L. Hall	Corners L and R, 5 short
L. Hall	Free kicks
H. Barnes	Corners L

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities Locked, Pro.

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers Locked, Pro.

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities Locked, Pro.

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Aston Villa formLWDWW, most recent

Newcastle United formLWLLW, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers Locked, Pro.

Key players