Arsenal vs Bournemouth Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

ARS concede just 0.8 xGA per match vs BOU's 1.8. That gap should show in chance quality

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Both teams defend high and press aggressively, which typically opens space in behind and increases transition frequency

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Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 49%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursBOUSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Arsenal

Last 9 home games7W · 1D · 1L · 78% wins

Strong at home (clinical finishing)

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

Above expected

0.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Bournemouth

Last 11 away games2W · 5D · 4L · 18% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.8)

Below expected

2.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.6)

Above expected

Player
Madueke ARS	0.57	0.43	3.00	95
Saka ARS	0.73	0.32	2.96	98
Ünal BOU	0.63	0.54	3.62	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Bournemouth

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the high lines create the open, stretched game we expected?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Come back after the final whistle.

ArsenalArsenal
1-2
BournemouthBournemouth
Rice 33'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

BOU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Bournemouth formWWDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

BOU