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Premier League fixture difficulty ratings (FDR) and fixture ticker 26/27

Manchester City logoBest attacking runManchester City1.7Arsenal logoBest defensive runArsenal1.8Hull City logoHardest runHull City3.8Crystal Palace logoTurns harder · GW13Crystal Palace2.8 → 4.1Newcastle United logoTurns easier · GW13Newcastle United4.2 → 3.0Tottenham Hotspur logoTurns harder · GW14Tottenham Hotspur2.4 → 3.6Manchester United logoTurns harder · GW15Manchester United1.8 → 2.9Brentford logoTurns easier · GW15Brentford3.8 → 2.7Manchester City logoTurns easier · GW15Manchester City2.6 → 1.5

Remaining fixtures: GW10 to GW24, easiest run first.

xG Stat’s ratings combine team attacking and defensive strength with home advantage. Lower is easier on the 1–5 scale.

Easier · Even · Harder1–5 · Lower is easier▲▼ changed band since last week
GW10
GW11
GW12
GW13
GW14
GW15
GW16
GW17
GW18
GW19
GW20
GW21
GW22
GW23
GW24
Arsenal logo
ARS
HHUL1.1
ANEW1.9
HMCI2.3
ABRE2.5
ATOT2.3
HBOU1.4
HMUN1.7
ACRY1.9
AFUL2.4
HIPS1.0
HBRE1.2
AHUL1.7
HNEW1.1
AMCI3.6▲
HLIV1.6▲
Manchester City logo
MCI
ANFO2.6
HFUL1.3
AARS3.8
HLEE1.3
ABRE2.6
HCHE1.5
HHUL1.0
ANEW2.1
AEVE2.4
HTOT1.2
ALEE2.6
HNFO1.3
ABHA2.8
HARS2.5
AFUL2.5
Manchester United logo
MUN
HAVL1.7
ALIV3.5
HBRE1.6
ANEW2.6
HCOV1.1
ACRY2.6
AARS4.3
HNFO1.7
HSUN1.2
ABHA3.2
HNEW1.3
AAVL3.1
HLIV2.3
ABRE3.0
HCHE1.9
Liverpool logo
LIV
ACRY2.7
HMUN2.5▼
AEVE2.9
HSUN1.3
ACHE3.3
HLEE1.8
HTOT1.6▲
AHUL2.3▼
AAVL3.2
HCOV1.1
ASUN2.5
HCRY1.3
AMUN3.8
HEVE1.6
AARS4.3
Bournemouth logo
BOU
AIPS2.5
HNFO2.0
AFUL3.2
HBHA2.1
HHUL1.2
AARS4.6
HCOV1.2
ATOT3.1
ACRY2.8
HAVL2.0
ABHA3.4
HIPS1.3
ANFO3.3
HFUL1.9
ALEE3.3
Brighton logo
BHA
HBRE2.2
AHUL2.7
HNEW1.6
ABOU4.0
ANFO3.4
HEVE1.9
HIPS1.4
AFUL3.4
ATOT3.3
HMUN2.8
HBOU2.6
ABRE3.4
HMCI3.4
ANEW3.0
HHUL1.4
Chelsea logo
CHE
ASUN2.8
HLEE2.2
ANFO3.4
HCRY1.6
HLIV2.8
AMCI4.6
HAVL2.2
ACOV2.6
AIPS2.7
HNEW1.6
ACRY3.0
HSUN1.5
ALEE3.4
HNFO2.2
AMUN4.2
Aston Villa logo
AVL
AMUN4.3
HSUN1.6▲
AIPS2.8
HEVE2.1
HCRY1.8
ACOV2.7
ACHE3.9
HLEE2.4
HLIV2.8
ABOU4.1
AEVE3.3
HMUN3.0
AFUL3.5
HIPS1.5
ASUN2.9
Leeds United logo
LEE
HTOT2.1
ACHE3.8
HCOV1.4
AMCI4.7
HIPS1.4
ALIV4.2
HFUL2.3
AAVL3.6
AHUL2.8
HEVE2.0
HMCI3.4
ATOT3.4
HCHE2.6▲
ACOV2.7
HBOU2.7
Nottingham Forest logo
NFO
HMCI3.4
ABOU4.0
HCHE2.6▲
AHUL2.8
HBHA2.6
ASUN2.9
HEVE2.0
AMUN4.3
ANEW3.1
HFUL2.3
HHUL1.5▼
AMCI4.7
HBOU2.7
ACHE3.8
HBRE2.3
Tottenham Hotspur logo
TOT
ALEE3.8
HIPS1.6
ASUN3.1
HFUL2.4
HARS3.6
AHUL2.9
ALIV4.3
HBOU2.9
HBHA2.7
AMCI4.8
AFUL3.7
HLEE2.5▼
ACRY3.2
HSUN1.8
AIPS3.0
Everton logo
EVE
HCOV1.6
ABRE3.8
HLIV3.0
AAVL3.9
HFUL2.5
ABHA4.0
ANFO3.9
HSUN1.9
HMCI3.7
ALEE3.9
HAVL2.7
ACOV2.8
HBRE2.6
ALIV4.4
HNEW2.0
Brentford logo
BRE
ABHA3.8
HEVE2.1
AMUN4.4
HARS3.5
HMCI3.5▼
AFUL3.5
HNEW1.8
AIPS2.9
ACOV2.7
HCRY1.8
AARS4.7
HBHA2.6
AEVE3.4
HMUN3.0
ANFO3.7
Fulham logo
FUL
HNEW1.9
AMCI4.8
HBOU2.8
ATOT3.5
AEVE3.4
HBRE2.5▼
ALEE3.7
HBHA2.7
HARS3.5▼
ANFO3.7
HTOT2.3
ANEW3.2
HAVL2.6
ABOU4.2
HMCI3.6
Crystal Palace logo
CRY
HLIV3.3
ACOV3.2
HHUL2.0
ACHE4.5
AAVL4.3
HMUN3.5
ASUN3.4
HARS4.1
HBOU3.3
ABRE4.2
HCHE3.1
ALIV4.7
HTOT2.8▲
AHUL3.3
HCOV1.8
Sunderland logo
SUN
HCHE3.1
AAVL4.4
HTOT2.7
ALIV4.7
ANEW3.8
HNFO3.0
HCRY2.6
AEVE4.0
AMUN4.8
HHUL2.2
HLIV3.4
ACHE4.5
HCOV2.0
ATOT4.0
HAVL3.0
Ipswich Town logo
IPS
HBOU3.6
ATOT4.4
HAVL3.2
ACOV3.4▼
ALEE4.6
HNEW2.7
ABHA4.7
HBRE3.2
HCHE3.4
AARS5.0
HCOV2.2▼
ABOU4.8
HHUL2.4▼
AAVL4.6
HTOT3.0
Newcastle United logo
NEW
AFUL4.2
HARS4.1
ABHA4.4
HMUN3.5
HSUN2.2
AIPS3.3
ABRE4.2
HMCI4.1
HNFO2.9
ACHE4.4
AMUN4.8
HFUL2.8
AARS4.9
HBHA3.0
AEVE4.0
Coventry City logo
COV
AEVE4.3
HCRY2.8
ALEE4.6▲
HIPS2.6▲
AMUN4.9
HAVL3.3
ABOU4.8
HCHE3.4
HBRE3.2
ALIV4.9
AIPS3.8▲
HEVE3.1
ASUN3.9▲
HLEE3.2
ACRY4.2
Hull City logo
HUL
AARS4.9
HBHA3.2
ACRY3.9
HNFO3.1
ABOU4.8
HTOT2.9▲
AMCI5.0
HLIV3.6▲
HLEE3.1
ASUN3.7▲
ANFO4.4
HARS4.2
AIPS3.5
HCRY2.7
ABHA4.5
How it worksGoals conceded by positionFPL strategy

26/27. Ratings updated 5 Nov 2026.

About these ratings

A fixture difficulty rating (FDR) scores how hard each upcoming match is for a team on a 1 to 5 scale, where 1 is the easiest. Here it is built from each opponent's attacking and defensive expected goals, with an adjustment for home advantage, and shown as a fixture ticker across the gameweeks you choose.

The official rating is set by hand before the season and rarely moves. This one is refitted from expected goals as results come in, and it splits into an attacking rating (how easy the opponent is to score against) and a defensive rating (how likely a clean sheet is). A team can be an easy fixture for forwards and a hard one for defenders in the same week.

Every morning. The model is refitted daily at around 6am UK time, so the day after a round of matches the new expected goals are already in. The date under the grid shows the last update.

Pick the range of gameweeks you are planning for and sort by difficulty. Use the attack view for forwards and midfielders and the defence view for defenders and goalkeepers. The chips above the grid name the easiest and hardest runs over that range, and flag teams whose fixtures turn from hard to easy or back.