Manchester Utd vs Fulham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

MUN concede just 0.9 xGA per match vs FUL's 1.6. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursMUNSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 39%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursFULSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Manchester United

Last 9 home games5W · 3D · 1L · 56% wins

Solid form (leaky at the back)

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.2 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.1)

Below expected

Fulham

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Manchester United

B. Mbeumo

WG0.54

xGI/90

0.54

Goals vs xG

2G vs 1.9

Assists vs xA

2A vs 1.1

Matheus Cunha

1G 2A0.70 xGI

Bruno Fernandes

CAM

0G 1A0.50 xGI

M. Mount

CAM

1G 0A0.50 xGI

Fulham

R. Jiménez

CF0.45

xGI/90

0.45

Goals vs xG

2G vs 2.1

Assists vs xA

0A vs 0.4

H. Wilson

1G 0A0.37 xGI

Player
Jiménez FUL	0.56	0.38	2.86	-
Mbeumo MUN	0.52	0.22	1.97	-
Muniz FUL	0.59	0.59	2.84	-

38 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester United

Fulham

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MUN(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.24

0.421st

0.451st

0.371st

0.241st

0.131st

0.081st

0.161st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Manchester UtdMan Utd
1-0
FulhamFulham
Zirkzee 86'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

FUL

MUN

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

FUL

MUN

FUL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

FUL

MUN

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Fulham formWLLLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

FUL

MUN

FUL