Manchester Utd vs West Ham Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

Souček 25'
Bowen 56'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW36

11 May 13:15

J. Gillett

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 39%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

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Manchester United

Last 9 home games5W · 3D · 1L · 56% wins

Solid form (leaky at the back)

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.2 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.1)

Below expected

West Ham United

Last 9 away games2W · 3D · 4L · 22% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Below expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.3)

Above expected

Player
Mbeumo MUN	0.52	0.22	1.97	92
Cunha MUN	0.52	0.31	3.25	89
Traoré WHU	0.52	0.26	1.78	76

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester United

West Ham United

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MUN(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.24

0.421st

0.451st

0.371st

0.241st

0.131st

0.081st

0.161st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

Manchester United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Mbeumo MUN	0.52	0.22	1.97	92
Cunha MUN	0.52	0.31	3.25	89
Traoré WHU	0.52	0.26	1.78	76

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Manchester UtdMan Utd
0-2
West Ham UtdWest Ham

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

WHU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

West Ham United formWLWDD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

WHU