Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

NFO build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for LIV

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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from NFO

FavoursNFOSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.2+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Nottingham Forest

Last 11 home games2W · 4D · 5L · 18% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

Underperforming

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Liverpool

Last 10 away games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.5 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Above expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

On track

Player
Isak LIV	0.69	0.48	2.76	97
Wood NFO	0.46	0.35	1.78	75
Gakpo LIV	0.54	0.39	2.45	91

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

Liverpool

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Come back after the final whistle.

Nottingham ForestForest
1-1
LiverpoolLiverpool
Wood 7'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

NFO

LIV

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

NFO

LIV

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

NFO

LIV

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Liverpool formLWLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

NFO

LIV