Tottenham vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

AVL concede just 1.1 xGA per match vs TOT's 2.4. That gap should show in chance quality

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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from AVL

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AVL win 60% on the road while TOT manage just 9% at home, undermining any home edge

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Tottenham Hotspur

Last 11 home games1W · 3D · 7L · 9% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Below expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

Below expected

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games6W · 2D · 2L · 60% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Above expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Tottenham Hotspur

M. Tel

WG0.35

xGI/90

0.35

Goals vs xG

0G vs 0.8

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.9

M. Kudus

2G 2A0.40 xGI

W. Odobert

1G 0A0.17 xGI

P. Sarr

0G 0A0.08 xGI

Aston Villa

O. Watkins

CF0.47

xGI/90

0.47

Goals vs xG

1G vs 1.5

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.5

H. Elliott

CAM

1G 1A0.60 xGI

Player
Watkins AVL	0.64	0.49	2.70	-
Richarlison TOT	0.65	0.57	2.50	-
Buendía AVL	0.55	0.55	2.71	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa

TottenhamTottenham
4-1
Aston VillaVilla
Johnson 48'
Solanke 74'
Solanke

Pre-Match Signals

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Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formWLDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL