Wolverhampton vs Fulham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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FUL favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL34%Draw27%FUL39%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Fulham1.3

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

WOL attack304 chances

PROWOL attack report PROFUL defence report

Central playVery wide

PROWOL shape report PROFUL shape report

FUL attack399 chances

52%208 / 399

12%47 / 399

36%144 / 399

LeftCentreRight

FUL lean left too, straight into WOL's stronger side.

30%called correctly

Error score

1% worse than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.205 against 0.203 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

24%·29

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

50%·2

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 37 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson

PROWOL set pieces PROFUL set pieces

WolverhamptonWolves
1-2
FulhamFulham
Gomes 17'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers