Crystal Palace vs Sunderland preview, 13 Sep 2025: xG form

13 Sep 14:00

T. Bramall

This match has been played.

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CRY favoured at home, but only just.

CRY49%Draw29%SUN23%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

C. Palace1.6Sunderland1.0

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

CRY attack

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

PROCRY attack report PROSUN defence report

LightPhysically dominant

PROCRY shape report PROSUN shape report

SUN attack

LW0.35

CF0.29

RW0.29

CAM0.00

CDM0.12

CM0.24

LB0.00

CB0.12

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

CRY6 scored from 9.3 xG-3.3

SUN9 scored from 6.1 xG+2.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits offHeavy counter-press

Deep blockPresses higher

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Takes risksVery bold

Central playEven width

Fairly directFairly direct

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Richards	Throw-ins	101	1.1
Lerma	Throw-ins	50	0.4
Wharton	Corners L and R, 1 short	44	1.6
Mateta	Penalties	4	3.0
Sarr	Penalties	3	2.3
Devenny	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Penalties

24%

SUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mukiele	Throw-ins	112	1.8
Xhaka	Free kicks	80	2.2
Xhaka	Corners R, 9 short	61	1.9
Fée

PROCRY set pieces PROSUN set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

32%

Corners

31%

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
0-0
SunderlandSunderland

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers