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Premier League · GW31 · Sat 10 Apr
6% better than guessing. Over the last 100 settled matches in this competition, the model's pick was right 43% of the time. Its error score is 0.213 against 0.227 for guessing the usual home, draw and away split. Lower is better. This verdict draws on 20 matches.
Sunderland favoured at home, but only just.
Season xG only, no line-ups.
No one ruled out
Where each side attacks, and the biggest mismatch with the other's defence.
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