Arsenal vs Fulham preview, 1 Apr 2025: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

This match has been played.

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ARS favoured at home, but only just.

ARS54%Draw24%FUL22%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Arsenal1.7Fulham1.0

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROARS attack report PROFUL defence report

Central playVery wide

PROARS shape report PROFUL shape report

Premier League 2024/2025

GW30

01 Apr 18:45

J. Brooks

Last 6, goals vs xG

ARS12 scored from 11.5 xG+0.5

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Patient build-upFairly direct

Mid-blockVery high line

Low intensityHigh intensity

Middling controlVery technical

Very cautiousCautious

Sits offMixed response

LightMiddling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

ARS Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Rice	Corners L and R, 11 short	108	5.6
Saka	Corners R, 5 short	64	3.6
Rice	Free kicks	52	1.3
Ødegaard	Corners R, 1 short	37	1.3
Ødegaard	Penalties	1	0.8
Saka	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

23%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson

PROARS set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

ArsenalArsenal
2-1
FulhamFulham
Merino 36'
Saka 72'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers