Question 1

What is xGI and why does it matter for FPL?

Accepted Answer

Expected goal involvements add expected goals and expected assists together into a player's total expected attacking contribution. For FPL it combines a player's goal and assist threat in one number, which is why it is the default sort here. Full definition: expected goal involvements explained.

Question 2

How do I use xG to pick FPL transfers?

Accepted Answer

Target players whose goals lag their xG: they are creating chances without the returns, and are often better value than their form suggests. Players scoring well above xG are candidates to regress. Expected goals measures the quality of a chance as the probability that a shot of that type is scored, so a shot worth 0.5 xG should be scored about half the time. Full definition: expected goals explained.

				FPL					Form	Reliability		Returns
#
1	Haaland	FWD	2967'	£15.5m	74.8%	239	6.8	43	1.5	100%	100%	22	2	13	1.9
2	Fernandes	MID	3332'	£12.0m	48.7%	235	6.7	41	2.2	97%	100%	8	9	7	4.9
3	Magalhaes	DEF	2617'	£8.0m	26.2%	209	6.5	30	—	100%	100%	3	0	18	7.3
4	Semenyo	MID	3509'	£8.5m	22.6%	202	5.5	18	1.8	97%	100%	11	3	12	4.6
5	Gibbs-White	MID	3005'	£8.0m	11.6%	188	5.1	18	1.4	100%	100%	7	6	10	3.6
6	Bowen	FWD	3257'	£7.8m	17.5%	187	4.9	28	2.2	100%	100%	13	9	8	3.2
7	Rice	MID	3100'	£7.5m	22.4%	184	5.1	23	0.6	94%	100%	4	6	18	5.1
8	Thiago	FWD	215'	£8.0m	16.0%	181	4.8	22	0.1	13%	100%	0	0	10	5.4
9	Murphy	MID	0'	£6.5m	12.0%	180	4.7	16	—	-	100%	0	0	10	-
10	Guéhi	DEF	3356'	£6.0m	23.7%	179	5.1	14	0.5	100%	100%	3	2	14	10.6
11	Pedro	FWD	2165'	£7.5m	54.2%	177	5.1	30	—	85%	100%	10	4	10	2.5
12	v. Dijk	DEF	3694'	£6.5m	16.3%	175	4.6	10	0.3	100%	100%	3	1	10	9.3
13	White	DEF	1333'	£6.0m	10.8%	175	4.7	14	0.5	76%	100%	0	2	11	6.6
14	Tarkowski	DEF	3224'	£6.0m	9.9%	170	4.6	12	—	100%	100%	1	1	11	11.8
15	Mings	MID	1234'	£7.5m	29.8%	169	4.6	17	0.0	86%	100%	0	0	9	8.1
16	Watkins	FWD	2868'	£8.0m	12.6%	167	4.5	26	2.0	82%	100%	16	6	9	1.7
17	Raya	GK	3787'	£6.0m	30.9%	162	4.4	11	0.0	100%	100%	0	0	19	2.2
18	Szoboszlai	MID	2755'	£7.0m	47.0%	160	4.4	21	2.9	81%	100%	6	6	9	4.4
19	O'Reilly	DEF	577'	£6.5m	22.6%	160	4.7	10	0.3	67%	100%	2	0	14	5.1
20	Garner	MID	1755'	£6.0m	0.7%	159	4.2	13	0.5	81%	0%	0	1	11	7.1