Question 1

What is xGI and why does it matter for FPL?

Accepted Answer

Expected goal involvements add expected goals and expected assists together into a player's total expected attacking contribution. For FPL it combines a player's goal and assist threat in one number, which is why it is the default sort here. Full definition: expected goal involvements explained.

Question 2

How do I use xG to pick FPL transfers?

Accepted Answer

Target players whose goals lag their xG: they are creating chances without the returns, and are often better value than their form suggests. Players scoring well above xG are candidates to regress. Expected goals measures the quality of a chance as the probability that a shot of that type is scored, so a shot worth 0.5 xG should be scored about half the time. Full definition: expected goals explained.

				FPL					Form	Reliability		Returns
#
1	Haaland	FWD	3258'	£15.5m	74.8%	239	6.8	43	3.8	97%	100%	27	8	13	2.7
2	Fernandes	MID	3403'	£12.0m	48.7%	235	6.7	41	4.0	100%	100%	9	18	7	4.9
3	Magalhaes	DEF	3090'	£8.0m	26.2%	209	6.5	30	0.2	94%	100%	3	4	18	8.9
4	Semenyo	MID	3527'	£8.5m	22.6%	202	5.5	18	1.9	100%	100%	17	2	12	4.1
5	Gibbs-White	MID	3357'	£8.0m	11.6%	188	5.1	18	1.5	95%	100%	15	3	10	3.2
6	Bowen	FWD	3760'	£7.8m	17.5%	187	4.9	28	2.5	100%	100%	9	10	8	4.1
7	Rice	MID	3442'	£7.5m	22.4%	184	5.1	23	0.8	97%	100%	4	4	18	6.4
8	Thiago	FWD	3643'	£8.0m	16.0%	181	4.8	22	1.9	97%	100%	22	0	10	4.6
9	Murphy	MID	22'	£6.5m	12.0%	180	4.7	16	0.0	0%	100%	0	0	10	16.4
10	Guéhi	DEF	3499'	£6.0m	23.7%	179	5.1	14	0.1	100%	100%	3	1	14	8.2
11	Pedro	FWD	2935'	£7.5m	54.2%	177	5.1	30	0.7	89%	100%	15	5	10	2.3
12	v. Dijk	DEF	3854'	£6.5m	16.3%	175	4.6	10	1.1	100%	100%	6	0	10	8.8
13	White	DEF	771'	£6.0m	10.8%	175	4.7	14	0.1	75%	100%	0	1	11	7.6
14	Tarkowski	DEF	3684'	£6.0m	9.9%	170	4.6	12	1.3	100%	100%	2	2	11	11.0
15	Mings	MID	1469'	£7.5m	29.8%	169	4.6	17	0.3	88%	100%	0	0	9	7.3
16	Watkins	FWD	3079'	£8.0m	12.6%	167	4.5	26	4.2	89%	100%	16	3	9	1.9
17	Truffert	DEF	3776'	£5.5m	4.7%	165	4.3	19	1.0	100%	100%	1	4	11	8.5
18	Raya	GK	3729'	£6.0m	30.9%	162	4.4	11	0.0	100%	100%	0	0	19	1.7
19	Szoboszlai	MID	3637'	£7.0m	47.0%	160	4.4	21	2.4	100%	100%	6	7	9	5.5
20	O'Reilly	DEF	2924'	£6.5m	22.6%	160	4.7	10	1.3	85%	100%	5	3	14	7.2