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Premier League predicted table 2026/27

Most likely champion
Arsenal logoArsenal
Top 4 race
11clubs still live
Most likely relegated
Coventry City logoCoventry City
Spread
24pts typical
#TeamTitleUCLUELUECLRelProj. PtsRange
1
Arsenal logoArsenalARS
59%
98%
1%
<1%
-
75.163–87
2
Manchester City logoMan CityMCI
26%
91%
3%
2%
<1%
69.657–82
3
Brighton & Hove Albion logoBrightonBHA
6%
69%
9%
6%
<1%
62.851–75
4
Liverpool logoLiverpoolLIV
4%
61%
10%
8%
<1%
61.749–74
5
AFC Bournemouth logoBournemouthBOU
2%
39%
11%
10%
1%
57.545–70
6
Chelsea logoChelseaCHE
1%
31%
10%
10%
2%
56.044–68
7
Leeds United logoLeedsLEE
<1%
21%
9%
9%
3%
53.742–66
8
Aston Villa logoVillaAVL
<1%
18%
8%
8%
4%
52.841–65
9
Manchester United logoMan UtdMUN
<1%
16%
8%
8%
5%
52.140–64
10
Everton logoEvertonEVE
<1%
15%
7%
8%
5%
52.040–64
11
Brentford logoBrentfordBRE
<1%
15%
7%
8%
5%
51.940–64
12
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenhamTOT
<1%
6%
4%
5%
13%
48.136–60
13
Nottingham Forest logoForestNFO
<1%
6%
4%
5%
13%
48.036–60
14
Fulham logoFulhamFUL
<1%
5%
3%
4%
15%
47.035–59
15
Newcastle United logoNewcastleNEW
<1%
3%
2%
3%
21%
45.834–58
16
Hull City logoHullHUL
<1%
2%
1%
2%
34%
43.031–56
17
Sunderland logoSunderlandSUN
<1%
<1%
<1%
1%
40%
41.730–54
18
Ipswich Town logoIpswichIPS
<1%
1%
<1%
1%
43%
41.529–54
19
Crystal Palace logoPalaceCRY
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
46%
40.929–53
20
Coventry City logoCoventryCOV
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
52%
39.828–53
Updated Fri 13 Nov, 06:15

Bars show how often each club finished in each outcome across 100,000 simulated seasons. How it works · Transfers that shaped this table

Position probability heatmap

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal logoArsenalARS59231042110000000000000
Manchester City logoMan CityMCI2632181063211
Brighton & Hove Albion logoBrightonBHA6151916129654
Liverpool logoLiverpoolLIV41216161310864
AFC Bournemouth logoBournemouthBOU2591112111087
Chelsea logoChelseaCHE147910101098
Leeds United logoLeedsLEE124789998
Aston Villa logoVillaAVL023578888
Manchester United logoMan UtdMUN013568888
Everton logoEvertonEVE013467888
Brentford logoBrentfordBRE013567888
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenhamTOT001234566
Nottingham Forest logoForestNFO001234566
Fulham logoFulhamFUL001123456
Newcastle United logoNewcastleNEW001122345
Hull City logoHullHUL0001112334
Sunderland logoSunderlandSUN0000111223
Ipswich Town logoIpswichIPS0000111223
Crystal Palace logoPalaceCRY0000011122
Coventry City logoCoventryCOV0000011122

Cells are percentages; blanks are under 0.5%. Teams are sorted by expected points.

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
5
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
7
6
5
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
8
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
2
1
0
8
8
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
1
1
8
8
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
2
1
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
2
2
1
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
2
2
1
7
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
6
4
3
7
7
8
8
8
8
7
7
6
4
3
6
7
8
8
9
8
8
8
7
5
3
5
6
7
8
9
9
9
9
8
7
5
5
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
11
11
4
5
6
7
8
10
11
13
14
14
4
4
5
6
8
9
10
12
14
16
3
4
5
6
8
9
11
13
15
18
3
4
4
5
6
8
10
13
16
23