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Premier League predicted table 2026/27

Most likely champion
Manchester City logoManchester City
Top 4 race
14clubs still live
Most likely relegated
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenham Hotspur
Spread
27pts typical
#TeamTitleUCLUELUECLRelProj. PtsRange
1
Manchester City logoManchester CityMCI
49%
92%
3%
2%
<1%
70.957–85
2
Arsenal logoArsenalARS
26%
83%
5%
3%
<1%
66.853–80
3
Manchester United logoManchester UtdMUN
6%
49%
8%
7%
2%
58.445–72
4
Liverpool logoLiverpoolLIV
5%
45%
9%
8%
2%
57.844–71
5
Brighton logoBrightonBHA
3%
37%
8%
8%
3%
55.842–70
6
Leeds United logoLeeds UtdLEE
2%
26%
7%
7%
6%
53.640–67
7
Brentford logoBrentfordBRE
2%
26%
7%
7%
6%
53.640–67
8
Chelsea logoChelseaCHE
2%
25%
7%
7%
6%
53.340–67
9
Hull City logoHull CityHUL
2%
21%
6%
6%
11%
51.737–67
10
Everton logoEvertonEVE
<1%
18%
6%
6%
9%
51.538–65
11
Aston Villa logoAston VillaAVL
<1%
13%
5%
5%
14%
49.536–63
12
Bournemouth logoBournemouthBOU
<1%
14%
5%
6%
14%
49.536–63
13
Newcastle United logoNewcastle UtdNEW
<1%
10%
4%
5%
17%
48.535–62
14
Ipswich Town logoIpswich TownIPS
<1%
10%
4%
4%
23%
47.333–62
15
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham ForestNFO
<1%
8%
4%
4%
21%
47.034–61
16
Crystal Palace logoCrystal PalaceCRY
<1%
6%
3%
3%
27%
45.632–59
17
Coventry City logoCoventry CityCOV
<1%
7%
3%
3%
31%
45.331–60
18
Fulham logoFulhamFUL
<1%
5%
3%
3%
30%
44.731–59
19
Sunderland logoSunderlandSUN
<1%
4%
2%
2%
35%
43.731–57
20
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenhamTOT
<1%
2%
1%
2%
44%
41.929–55
Updated Tue 29 Sep, 05:16

Bars show how often each club finished in each outcome across 100,000 simulated seasons. How it works · Transfers that shaped this table

Position probability heatmap

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Manchester City logoManchester City
MCI
49
22
11
6
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Arsenal logoArsenalARS262515107532211110000000
Manchester United logoManchester UtdMUN610121110877554332211110
Liverpool logoLiverpoolLIV59111110987654433221110
Brighton logoBrightonBHA37999887665543322111
Leeds United logoLeeds UtdLEE24677777766655443321
Brentford logoBrentfordBRE24677777766655443221
Chelsea logoChelseaCHE24667777776655443321
Hull City logoHull CityHUL23566666666665554443
Everton logoEvertonEVE13456667777666654432
Aston Villa logoAston VillaAVL12344556666766666554
Bournemouth logoBournemouthBOU12345566666676666554
Newcastle United logoNewcastle UtdNEW01234455666677777665
Ipswich Town logoIpswich TownIPS11233445555666777888
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham ForestNFO01223445556677778876
Crystal Palace logoCrystal PalaceCRY01122334455667788999
Coventry City logoCoventry CityCOV0112233444556677891012
Fulham logoFulhamFUL0012233344566778991011
Sunderland logoSunderlandSUN00111223344567789101213
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenhamTOT00011122334456789111419

Cells are percentages; blanks are under 0.5%. Teams are sorted by expected points.