Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace preview, 26 Dec 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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BOU favoured at home, but only just.

BOU45%Draw25%CRY30%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Bournemouth1.6C. Palace1.3

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBOU attack report PROCRY defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROBOU shape report PROCRY shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

CRY10 scored from 9.8 xG+0.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperVery high line

Very directVery direct

Physically dominantPhysically dominant

Heavy counter-pressHeavy counter-press

15306075+1'+3'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW18

26 Dec 15:00

T. Bramall

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert	Corners L, 4 short	35	2.0
Kluivert	Penalties	6	4.6
Evanilson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Free kicks	62	1.8
Eze	Corners L and R, 10 short	61	1.3
Hughes	Corners L and R, 7 short	54	3.7
Lerma

PROBOU set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

19%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
2.43-0.52

Key players

Set-piece takers

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Bournemouth formWWDWD

Crystal Palace formLDWLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

BournemouthBournemouth0-0Crystal PalaceC. Palace2.43-0.52

Key players

Set-piece takers

BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
2.43-0.52