Bournemouth vs Liverpool preview, 1 Feb 2025: xG form

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Salah (P) 29'
Salah 74'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW24

01 Feb 15:00

D. England

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LIV favoured away from home, but only just.

BOU31%Draw24%LIV45%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Bournemouth1.4Liverpool1.7

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBOU attack report PROLIV defence report

Central playVery wide

PROBOU shape report PROLIV shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

LIV12 scored from 15.2 xG-3.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

LightPhysically dominant

ScrappyVery technical

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Mixed build-upVery direct

Very high lineVery high line

Very high intensityVery high intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert	Corners L, 4 short	35	2.0
Kluivert	Penalties	6	4.6
Evanilson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas

PROBOU set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

BournemouthBournemouth
0-2
LiverpoolLiverpool

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers