Bournemouth vs Manchester Utd preview, 27 Apr 2025: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

This match has been played.

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BOU favoured at home, but only just.

BOU46%Draw24%MUN29%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Bournemouth1.6Man Utd1.2

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

BOU attack

PROBOU attack report PROMUN defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROBOU shape report PROMUN shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
EvanilsonCF · BOU	--	43%	7%	0.69	93%	Low	0.14
R. HøjlundCF · MUN	--	19%	6%	0.39	71%	Medium	0.27
J. KluivertCAM · BOU	--	16%	6%	0.46	52%	Medium	0.21
Bruno FernandesCAM · MUN	--	14%	19%	0.44	82%	Medium	0.27
M. TavernierWG · BOU	--	10%	6%	0.40	43%	High	0.46
Matheus CunhaWG · MUN	--	9%	4%	0.45	30%	High	0.28

38 more players

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert	Corners L, 4 short	35	2.0
Kluivert	Penalties	6	4.6
Evanilson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 14 short	91	2.7
Fernandes	Free kicks	69	2.8
Eriksen	Corners L and R, 13 short	62	1.8
Diallo

PROBOU set pieces PROMUN set pieces

BournemouthBournemouth
1-1
Manchester UtdMan Utd
Semenyo 22'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers