Bournemouth vs Tottenham preview, 5 Dec 2024: xG form

05 Dec 20:15

S. Hooper

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BOU favoured at home, but only just.

BOU54%Draw22%TOT24%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Bournemouth2.0Tottenham1.3

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBOU attack report PROTOT defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROBOU shape report PROTOT shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

TOT4 scored from 5.1 xG-1.1

33%called correctly

Error score

2% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.214 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

30%·37

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

50%·2

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 45 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Possession-basedVery direct

Sits offHeavy counter-press

Measured riskVery bold

Mid-blockVery high line

ScrappyMiddling control

Very high intensityVery high intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert	Corners L, 4 short	35	2.0
Kluivert	Penalties	6	4.6
Evanilson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min

PROBOU set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

BournemouthBournemouth
1-0
TottenhamTottenham
Huijsen 16'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers