Brentford vs Ipswich Town preview, 26 Oct 2024: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

Szmodics 27'
Hirst 30'
Delap 85'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW9

26 Oct 14:00

L. Smith

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BRE favoured at home, but only just.

BRE53%Draw22%IPS25%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brentford1.9Ipswich1.2

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBRE attack report PROIpswich Town defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROBRE shape report PROIpswich Town shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BRE14 scored from 11.1 xG+2.9

IPS3 scored from 6.6 xG-3.6

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Drops right offCounter-presses

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Fairly directFairly direct

Takes risksTakes risks

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BRE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mbeumo	Corners L and R, 15 short	86	4.0
Damsgaard	Corners L, 8 short	59	1.5
Mbeumo	Free kicks	39	0.7
Schade	Throw-ins	34	0.5
Damsgaard	Free kicks	27	0.8
Mbeumo	Penalties	6	4.6

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

41%

Corners

26%

Ipswich Town Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Davis	Corners L and R, 10 short	80	2.4
Davis	Free kicks	45	1.7
Cajuste	Throw-ins	35	0.7
Morsy

PROBRE set pieces PROIpswich Town set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

44%

Free kicks

23%

BrentfordBrentford
4-3
Ipswich TownIpswich
Wissa 43'
Clarke (OG) 45'
Mbeumo (P)

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers