Brentford vs Ipswich Town Preview: What the xG Data Says

Brentford

4-32.88-1.38

Ipswich

Wissa 43'
Clarke (OG) 45'
Mbeumo (P) 50'
Mbeumo 95'

Szmodics 27'
Hirst 30'
Delap 85'

Szmodics 27'
Hirst 30'
Delap 85'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW9

26 Oct 14:00

L. Smith

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from BRE

FavoursBRESubscribers see the evidence behind this

Ipswich Town build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for BRE

FavoursBRESubscribers see the evidence behind this

Ipswich Town concede just NaN xGA per match vs BRE's 1.7. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursIpswich TownSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Brentford

Last 10 home games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 2.1)

Below expected

1.1 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

Above expected

Player
Ouattara BRE	0.58	0.41	2.30	80
Nelson BRE	0.57	0.36	2.12	59
Carvalho BRE	0.44	0.35	1.98	8

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Brentford

Ipswich Town

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Come back after the final whistle.

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Ouattara BRE	0.58	0.41	2.30	80
Nelson BRE	0.57	0.36	2.12	59
Carvalho BRE	0.44	0.35	1.98	8

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BrentfordBrentford
4-3
Ipswich TownIpswich
Wissa 43'
Clarke (OG) 45'
Mbeumo (P)

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

BRE

BRE

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

BRE

BRE

BRE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

BRE

BRE

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Ipswich Town form

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

BRE

BRE

BRE