Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leicester City preview, 12 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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BRI clear favourites at home.

BHA68%Draw18%LEI14%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brighton2.3Leicester0.9

A 1.4 xG edge, roughly a two-in-three win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBRI attack report PROLeicester City defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PROBRI shape report PROLeicester City shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
K. MitomaWG · BRI	--	32%	14%	0.59	91%	Low	0.47
D. WelbeckCF · BRI	--	28%	7%	0.72	57%	High	0.35
Y. MintehWG · BRI	--	23%	14%	0.76	53%	Medium	1.04
G. RutterCAM · BRI	--	19%	5%	0.71	37%	High	0.00
J. HinshelwoodFB · BRI	--	18%	7%	0.35	79%	Medium	0.00
Y. AyariCM · BRI	--	16%	8%	0.44	59%	High	0.08

37 more players

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ayari	Corners L and R, 3 short	37	0.6
Estupiñán	Corners L and R, 5 short	37	0.9
O'Riley	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	1.4
Pedro	Penalties	5	3.8
Welbeck	Penalties	1	0.8
O'Riley	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

28%

Free kicks

25%

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss

PROBRI set pieces PROLeicester City set pieces

Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton
2-2
Leicester CityLeicester
Pedro (P) 30'
Pedro (P) 54'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers