Brighton vs Wolverhampton preview, 26 Oct 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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BRI favoured at home, but only just.

BHA49%Draw25%WOL26%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brighton1.6Wolves1.1

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBRI attack report PROWOL defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROBRI shape report PROWOL shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BHA15 scored from 10.9 xG+4.1

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits offHeavy counter-press

Middling intensityVery high intensity

Middling controlTechnical

Middling physicalityFairly physical

Central playEven width

Mixed build-upMixed build-up

Measured riskMeasured risk

Premier League 2024/2025

GW9

26 Oct 14:00

M. Oliver

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ayari	Corners L and R, 3 short	37	0.6
Estupiñán	Corners L and R, 5 short	37	0.9
O'Riley	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	1.4
Pedro	Penalties	5	3.8
Welbeck	Penalties	1	0.8
O'Riley	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

28%

Free kicks

25%

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia

PROBRI set pieces PROWOL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

BrightonBrighton
2-2
WolverhamptonWolves
Welbeck 44'
Ferguson 84'

Key players

Set-piece takers