Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2024/2025

GW3

01 Sep 12:30

J. Gillett

This match has been played.

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CHEChelsea1.7CRYC. Palace1.2

Chelsea shade it on chance quality. Chelsea are favourites at 48%.

Based on 76 matches played this season.

CHE48%

Draw24%

CRY27%

The channel one side attacks most, set against the position the other concedes most through.After gameweek 1

How often the model's pick has been right this season, and how well its stated confidence matched what happened.From 20 settled matches

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist odds, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones, vulnerabilities and style

LeftCentreRight

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Low Block ↔ High Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist odds, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

ChelseaChelsea
1-1
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Jackson 24'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Model accuracy

Most likely to score

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Attacking zones, vulnerabilities and style

Where they attack

Goal involvements conceded per position

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Model accuracy

Most likely to score

Attacking zones, vulnerabilities and style

Where they attack

Crystal Palace formLDWLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Style ranks

Most likely to score