Chelsea vs Fulham preview, 26 Dec 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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CHE favoured at home, but only just.

CHE48%Draw25%FUL27%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Chelsea1.6Fulham1.1

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROCHE attack report PROFUL defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROCHE shape report PROFUL shape report

Wilson 81'
Muniz 94'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW18

26 Dec 15:00

S. Barrott

Last 6, goals vs xG

CHE8 scored from 8.4 xG-0.4

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Low intensityHigh intensity

Very lightMiddling physicality

Mid-blockPresses higher

Middling controlVery technical

Possession-basedFairly direct

Very cautiousCautious

Sits offMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer	Free kicks	27	1.6
Fernández	Free kicks	24	0.9
Palmer	Penalties	5	3.8

Share of set-play xG

Free kicks

30%

Corners

29%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson

PROCHE set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

ChelseaChelsea
1-2
FulhamFulham
Palmer 15'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers