Chelsea vs West Ham Utd preview, 3 Feb 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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CHE clear favourites at home.

CHE58%Draw22%WHU21%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Chelsea2.0West Ham1.1

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROCHE attack report PROWHU defence report

ScrappyVery technical

PROCHE shape report PROWHU shape report

Premier League 2024/2025

GW24

03 Feb 20:00

S. Attwell

Last 6, goals vs xG

CHE8 scored from 8.4 xG-0.4

WHU10 scored from 7.0 xG+3.0

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very lightMiddling physicality

Sits deeperPresses higher

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Very centralEven width

Possession-basedFairly direct

Sits offCounter-presses

Middling intensityHigh intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer	Free kicks	27	1.6
Fernández	Free kicks	24	0.9
Palmer	Penalties	5	3.8

Share of set-play xG

Free kicks

30%

Corners

29%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners L and R, 3 short	44	1.1
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 1 short	34	0.8
Palmieri	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	1.2
Ward-Prowse

PROCHE set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

34%

Throw-ins

30%

ChelseaChelsea
2-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Neto 63'
Wan-Bissaka (OG) 73'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers