Everton vs Chelsea preview, 22 Dec 2024: xG form

22 Dec 14:00

C. Kavanagh

This match has been played.

See full analysis

CHE favoured away from home, but only just.

EVE28%Draw26%CHE46%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.1Chelsea1.5

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROEVE attack report PROCHE defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROEVE shape report PROCHE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

EVE8 scored from 6.8 xG+1.2

CHE8 scored from 8.4 xG-0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very centralVery wide

Very cautiousVery bold

Very scrappyVery technical

Possession-basedVery direct

Low intensityHigh intensity

Sits offCounter-presses

Mid-blockPresses higher

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm	Corners L and R, 4 short	25	0.7
Garner	Corners L and R, 1 short	23	0.7
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer

PROEVE set pieces PROCHE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Free kicks

30%

Corners

29%

EvertonEverton
0-0
ChelseaChelsea

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers