Everton vs Ipswich Town preview, 3 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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EVE favoured at home, but only just.

EVE51%Draw26%IPS24%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.6Ipswich1.0

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROEVE attack report PROIpswich Town defence report

Even widthVery wide

PROEVE shape report PROIpswich Town shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
BetoCF · EVE	--	22%	4%	0.65	44%	High	0.45
I. NdiayeWG · EVE	--	19%	6%	0.44	61%	Low	0.13
C. AlcarazWG · EVE	--	11%	5%	0.38	46%	High	0.00
J. BranthwaiteCB · EVE	--	10%	3%	0.15	93%	Low	0.00
G. HirstCF · Ipswich Town	--	10%	3%	0.32	42%	High	0.86
J. GarnerCM · EVE	--	10%	13%	0.30	82%	Medium	0.13

32 more players

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm	Corners L and R, 4 short	25	0.7
Garner	Corners L and R, 1 short	23	0.7
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

Ipswich Town Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Davis	Corners L and R, 10 short	80	2.4
Davis	Free kicks	45	1.7
Cajuste	Throw-ins	35	0.7
Morsy

PROEVE set pieces PROIpswich Town set pieces

EvertonEverton
2-2
Ipswich TownIpswich
Beto 25'
McNeil 34'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers