Everton vs Liverpool preview, 12 Feb 2025: xG form

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Allister 15'
Salah 72'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW15

12 Feb 19:30

M. Oliver

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LIV favoured away from home, but only just.

EVE23%Draw24%LIV53%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.0Liverpool1.7

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROEVE attack report PROLIV defence report

Very scrappyVery technical

PROEVE shape report PROLIV shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

EVE8 scored from 6.8 xG+1.2

LIV12 scored from 15.2 xG-3.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

LightPhysically dominant

Central playVery wide

Low intensityVery high intensity

Mid-blockVery high line

Mixed build-upVery direct

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm	Corners L and R, 4 short	25	0.7
Garner	Corners L and R, 1 short	23	0.7
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas

PROEVE set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

EvertonEverton
2-2
LiverpoolLiverpool
Beto 10'
Tarkowski 97'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers