Everton vs Southampton preview, 18 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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EVE favoured at home, but only just.

EVE53%Draw25%SOU22%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.6Southampton0.9

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROEVE attack report PROSouthampton defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROEVE shape report PROSouthampton shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
BetoCF · EVE	--	28%	4%	0.68	54%	Medium	0.90
I. NdiayeWG · EVE	--	21%	6%	0.42	71%	Medium	0.57
C. AlcarazWG · EVE	--	17%	8%	0.38	70%	High	0.00
D. McNeilCAM · EVE	--	11%	15%	0.50	57%	High	0.00
J. BranthwaiteCB · EVE	--	10%	3%	0.14	96%	Low	0.03
J. GarnerCM · EVE	--	10%	13%	0.28	87%	Medium	0.24

32 more players

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm	Corners L and R, 4 short	25	0.7
Garner	Corners L and R, 1 short	23	0.7
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

Southampton Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 2 short	53	1.6
Fernandes	Free kicks	40	0.6
Manning	Corners L and R, 2 short	32	1.1
Smallbone

PROEVE set pieces PROSouthampton set pieces

EvertonEverton
2-0
SouthamptonSouthampton
Ndiaye 5'
Ndiaye 46'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers