FulhamFulham
1-3
Aston VillaVilla
Jiménez 4'
1.77-1.96
Rogers 8'
Watkins 58'
Diop (OG) 68'

15306075+4'+8'

1-0

1-1

1-2

1-3

Premier League 2024/2025

GW8

19 Oct 14:00

D. England

This match has been played.

See full analysis

FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL42%Draw26%AVL33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.5Villa1.3

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROFUL attack report PROAVL defence report

Central playVery wide

PROFUL shape report PROAVL shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

AVL9 scored from 10.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Patient build-upFairly direct

Drops right offMixed response

Very lightMiddling physicality

Sits deeperMid-block

Middling controlTechnical

Very low intensityLow intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson	Corners L and R, 7 short	27	0.4
Jiménez	Penalties	3	2.3
Pereira	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

AVL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Tielemans	Corners L and R, 11 short	84	3.1
Tielemans	Free kicks	57	2.7
Watkins	Penalties	2	1.5
Asensio

PROFUL set pieces PROAVL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

23%

FulhamFulham
1-3
Aston VillaVilla
Jiménez 4'
1.77-1.96
Rogers 8'
Watkins 58'
Diop (OG) 68'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers

FulhamFulham1-3Aston VillaVillaJiménez 4'1.77-1.96Rogers 8'Watkins 58'Diop (OG) 68'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Fulham formWLLLW

Aston Villa formWLDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers

FulhamFulham
1-3
Aston VillaVilla
Jiménez 4'
1.77-1.96
Rogers 8'
Watkins 58'
Diop (OG) 68'