Fulham vs Brentford preview, 4 Nov 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL49%Draw24%BRE27%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.7Brentford1.2

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROFUL attack report PROBRE defence report

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

PROFUL shape report PROBRE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

BRE14 scored from 11.1 xG+2.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

ScrappyMiddling control

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Mid-blockPresses higher

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Fairly directFairly direct

Wilson 91'
Wilson 96'

15306075+2'+9'

0-1

1-1

2-1

Premier League 2024/2025

GW10

04 Nov 20:00

S. Attwell

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson	Corners L and R, 7 short	27	0.4
Jiménez	Penalties	3	2.3
Pereira	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

BRE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mbeumo	Corners L and R, 15 short	86	4.0
Damsgaard	Corners L, 8 short	59	1.5
Mbeumo	Free kicks	39	0.7
Schade

PROFUL set pieces PROBRE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

41%

Corners

26%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

FulhamFulham
2-1
BrentfordBrentford
Wilson 91'
Wilson 96'
2.57-0.76
Janelt 23'

Key players

Set-piece takers

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Fulham formWLLLW

Brentford formLWWDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

FulhamFulham2-1BrentfordBrentfordWilson 91'Wilson 96'2.57-0.76Janelt 23'

Key players

Set-piece takers

FulhamFulham
2-1
BrentfordBrentford
Wilson 91'
Wilson 96'
2.57-0.76
Janelt 23'