Fulham vs Chelsea preview, 20 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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CHE favoured away from home, but only just.

FUL34%Draw26%CHE40%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.3Chelsea1.4

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROFUL attack report PROCHE defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PROFUL shape report PROCHE shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
Rodrigo MunizCF · FUL	--	29%	3%	0.69	53%	High	0.54
C. PalmerCAM · CHE	--	23%	16%	0.50	87%	Medium	0.21
E. FernándezCM · CHE	--	16%	10%	0.31	94%	Low	0.12
Pedro NetoWG · CHE	--	16%	14%	0.41	80%	Medium	0.16
A. IwobiWG · FUL	--	15%	10%	0.31	88%	Low	0.04
R. SessegnonWG · FUL	--	8%	4%	0.28	46%	High	0.00

44 more players

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson	Corners L and R, 7 short	27	0.4
Jiménez	Penalties	3	2.3
Pereira	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer

PROFUL set pieces PROCHE set pieces

FulhamFulham
1-2
ChelseaChelsea
Iwobi 19'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers